Value bet: Dumbarton to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDumbarton to win57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.12
Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Annan Athletic travel to Dumbarton Football Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT) to face Dumbarton. Dumbarton are 6th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Annan Athletic sit 10th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Dumbarton's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Elgin City 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Annan Athletic's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Kelty Hearts 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Dumbarton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Annan Athletic 2–0 Dumbarton.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Dumbarton and 1.0 for Annan Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dumbarton 57%, draw 21%, Annan Athletic 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Dumbarton to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Dumbarton 1–0 Annan Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dumbarton57%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
Annan Athletic23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
2.82Expected goals
1.83Dumbarton xG
0.99Annan Athletic xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.8 – 1.0 Annan Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Dumbarton
Annan Athletic
Attack vs League Two average
-22%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.74
0.88
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?
On our numbers Dumbarton have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Annan Athletic 23%.
How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?
Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–0 Annan Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?
Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.