League Two · Scotland · New Central ParkKelty Hearts vs Stranraer prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 1.4 – 1.6 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stranraer shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 34% for Kelty Hearts.
Kelty Hearts have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Stranraer have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Stranraer come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Kelty Hearts, 1.6 for Stranraer). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Kelty Hearts have won 0, Stranraer have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stranraer to win | 45% | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stranraer / FT Stranraer | 26% | 3.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 9% | 11.05 | – |
Form
Kelty Hearts – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Annan Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Nov | @ Morton | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Elgin City | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Edinburgh City | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Forfar Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ East Kilbride | 1–2 | L |
Stranraer – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Stirling Albion | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Clyde | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Tayport | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Spartans | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Kilmarnock II | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Annan Athletic | 6–1 | W |
Head to head
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stranraer v Kelty Hearts | 2–0 |
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stranraer | 13 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  Clyde | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Elgin City | 13 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Spartans | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kelty Hearts | 13 | -5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Dumbarton | 13 | -5 | 16 |
| 7 |  Edinburgh City | 13 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Stirling Albion | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 9 |  Forfar Athletic | 13 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 |  Annan Athletic | 13 | -12 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hub →Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stranraer 45%.
How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.