Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Stranraer to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStranraer to win ✓41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Spartans vs Stranraer preview and prediction
The match
Spartans host Stranraer in the League Two on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ainslie Park. Spartans are 4th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Stranraer sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Spartans's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Stranraer's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Kilmarnock II 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Stranraer arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Stranraer 1–0 Spartans. Across their last 2 meetings Spartans have won 0, Stranraer 2, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for Spartans and 1.9 for Stranraer. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Stranraer to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Spartans 1–1 Stranraer. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartans36%fair 2.75 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Stranraer41%fair 2.41 · @2.90
3.60Expected goals
1.74Spartans xG
1.86Stranraer xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Spartans 1.7 – 1.9 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Spartans vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Spartans have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stranraer 41%.
How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Stranraer?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Stranraer?
Our predicted score is Spartans 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Spartans vs Stranraer?
Spartans vs Stranraer (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
