Value bet: Elgin City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultElgin City to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Elgin City vs Edinburgh City preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Elgin City take on Edinburgh City on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Borough Briggs. Elgin City are 3rd with 21 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Edinburgh City sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Elgin City's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Aberdeen U21 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Edinburgh City's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to St. Mirren U21 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Elgin City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Edinburgh City 0–5 Elgin City. Across their last 2 meetings Elgin City have won 2, Edinburgh City 0, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.5 for Elgin City and 1.6 for Edinburgh City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elgin City 56%, draw 20%, Edinburgh City 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Elgin City to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Elgin City 2–1 Edinburgh City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elgin City56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Edinburgh City24%fair 4.12 · @3.25
4.10Expected goals
2.47Elgin City xG
1.63Edinburgh City xG
70%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–17%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Elgin City 2.5 – 1.6 Edinburgh City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?
On our numbers Elgin City have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Edinburgh City 24%.
How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?
Our predicted score is Elgin City 2–1 Edinburgh City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?
Elgin City vs Edinburgh City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
