Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Kelty Hearts to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStranraer to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Stranraer take on Kelty Hearts on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stair Park. Stranraer are 1st with 27 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Kelty Hearts sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Stranraer's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Gala Fairydean Rovers 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kelty Hearts's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Clydebank 2–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Stranraer and 1.5 for Kelty Hearts. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kelty Hearts to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stranraer 1–1 Kelty Hearts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stranraer41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Kelty Hearts36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
3.13Expected goals
1.62Stranraer xG
1.51Kelty Hearts xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Stranraer 1.6 – 1.5 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stranraer to win✓
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stranraer / FT Stranraer✓
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Stranraer – last 6
WDWLLL
25 Aug
vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Spartans
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Alloa Athletic
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Annan Athletic
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Clyde
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 6
LWLWWL
25 Aug
vs Clydebank
2–4
L
22 Aug
vs Dumbarton
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Elgin City
1–4
L
11 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
4–3
W
8 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ Forfar Athletic
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stranraer and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Stranraer have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kelty Hearts 36%.
How many goals will there be in Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Stranraer 1–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stair Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
