Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Annan Athletic to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnnan Athletic to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceAnnan Athletic or draw ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Annan Athletic take on Dumbarton on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Galabank. Annan Athletic are 10th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Dumbarton sit 6th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Annan Athletic's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Berwick Rangers 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Dumbarton's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Celtic II 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Annan Athletic and 0.9 for Dumbarton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Annan Athletic 56%, draw 23%, Dumbarton 21%.
Safer route: Annan Athletic or draw (79%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Annan Athletic to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Annan Athletic or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Annan Athletic 1–0 Dumbarton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Annan Athletic56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Dumbarton21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
2.63Expected goals
1.70Annan Athletic xG
0.93Dumbarton xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Annan Athletic 1.7 – 0.9 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Annan Athletic to win✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Annan Athletic or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Annan Athletic / FT Annan Athletic✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Annan Athletic – last 6
DLLLWL
25 Aug
vs Berwick Rangers
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Edinburgh City
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Clyde
1–2
L
11 Aug
@ Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Stranraer
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Spartans
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dumbarton – last 6
DLLLWL
25 Aug
vs Celtic II
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Kelty Hearts
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Edinburgh City
0–3
L
11 Aug
vs Airdrie United
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Clyde
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Annan Athletic and Dumbarton.
What is the prediction for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Our pick is Annan Athletic or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
On our numbers Annan Athletic have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dumbarton 21%.
How many goals will there be in Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Our predicted score is Annan Athletic 1–0 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Galabank.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.