The League Two sees Elgin City take on Kelty Hearts on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Borough Briggs. Elgin City are 3rd with 21 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Kelty Hearts sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Elgin City's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Ross County 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kelty Hearts's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Motherwell U21 4–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Kelty Hearts arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Elgin City and 1.4 for Kelty Hearts. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elgin City 42%, draw 23%, Kelty Hearts 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Elgin City 1–1 Kelty Hearts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elgin City42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Kelty Hearts35%fair 2.84 · @2.75
2.99Expected goals
1.57Elgin City xG
1.42Kelty Hearts xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Elgin City 1.6 – 1.4 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elgin City to win✓
42%
2.38
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elgin City / FT Elgin City✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Form
Elgin City – last 6
LDWLLL
11 Aug
vs Ross County
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Forfar Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Edinburgh City
5–0
W
25 Jul
@ Hamilton Academical
0–5
L
18 Jul
vs Kilmarnock
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 6
WWLLWL
11 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
4–3
W
8 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ Forfar Athletic
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
21 Jul
vs Brora Rangers
3–2
W
14 Jul
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elgin City and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Elgin City have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kelty Hearts 35%.
How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Elgin City 1–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
