Value bet: Dumbarton to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDumbarton to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.89
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Dumbarton take on Edinburgh City on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Dumbarton Football Stadium. Dumbarton are 6th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Edinburgh City sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dumbarton's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Airdrie United 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Edinburgh City's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Cowdenbeath 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Edinburgh City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Dumbarton and 1.1 for Edinburgh City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dumbarton 58%, draw 16%, Edinburgh City 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Dumbarton to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dumbarton 1–1 Edinburgh City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dumbarton58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.16 · @3.45
Edinburgh City26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.81Dumbarton xG
1.07Edinburgh City xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.8 – 1.1 Edinburgh City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dumbarton to win✗
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
Dumbarton ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dumbarton / FT Dumbarton✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.89
–
Form
Dumbarton – last 6
LWLWLL
11 Aug
vs Airdrie United
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Clyde
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ East Kilbride
3–5
L
14 Jul
@ Dunfermline
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Edinburgh City – last 6
WDLWLW
11 Aug
vs Cowdenbeath
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Spartans
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Elgin City
0–5
L
21 Jul
@ Stranraer
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Ayr Utd
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Alloa Athletic
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and Edinburgh City.
What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
On our numbers Dumbarton have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Edinburgh City 26%.
How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–1 Edinburgh City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
