Value bet: Dumbarton to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDumbarton to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton preview and prediction
The match
Dumbarton travel to Forthbank Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 1 August (15:00 WAT) to face Stirling Albion. Stirling Albion are 8th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Dumbarton sit 6th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stirling Albion's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Arbroath 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Dumbarton's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Cove Rangers 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Stirling Albion and 1.5 for Dumbarton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%.
Value angle: Dumbarton to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Stirling Albion 1–1 Dumbarton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stirling Albion38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Dumbarton40%fair 2.52 · @2.70
2.87Expected goals
1.41Stirling Albion xG
1.46Dumbarton xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Stirling Albion 1.4 – 1.5 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dumbarton to win✗
40%
2.52
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dumbarton / FT Dumbarton✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Stirling Albion – last 6
LLWLLL
25 Jul
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Montrose
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Spartans
3–1
W
11 Jul
vs Dundee Utd
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Tranent Juniors
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Spartans
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dumbarton – last 6
WLLLLL
25 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ East Kilbride
3–5
L
14 Jul
@ Dunfermline
1–4
L
11 Jul
vs ST Mirren
0–4
L
30 Jun
@ Ayr Utd
0–3
L
20 Jun
@ Linlithgow Rose
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stirling Albion and Dumbarton.
What is the prediction for Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
On our numbers Stirling Albion have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dumbarton 40%.
How many goals will there be in Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
Our predicted score is Stirling Albion 1–1 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Forthbank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
