Value bet: Kelty Hearts to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKelty Hearts to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.65
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Forfar Athletic take on Kelty Hearts on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Station Park. Forfar Athletic are 9th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Kelty Hearts sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Forfar Athletic's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Brechin 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kelty Hearts's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Aberdeen 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Forfar Athletic and 1.8 for Kelty Hearts. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kelty Hearts to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Forfar Athletic 1–1 Kelty Hearts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forfar Athletic23%fair 4.32 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.55
Kelty Hearts57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
2.87Expected goals
1.04Forfar Athletic xG
1.82Kelty Hearts xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Forfar Athletic 1.0 – 1.8 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kelty Hearts to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Kelty Hearts ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kelty Hearts / FT Kelty Hearts✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
Forfar Athletic – last 6
WLLLLD
25 Jul
vs Brechin
3–1
W
21 Jul
@ Livingston
0–8
L
14 Jul
vs Partick
0–4
L
11 Jul
@ Stenhousemuir
0–2
L
7 Jul
vs Peterhead
0–3
L
4 Jul
vs Banks O' Dee
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 6
LWLDLL
25 Jul
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
21 Jul
vs Brora Rangers
3–2
W
14 Jul
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Queen of the South
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–3
L
27 Jun
@ East Kilbride
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forfar Athletic and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Forfar Athletic have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kelty Hearts 57%.
How many goals will there be in Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Forfar Athletic 1–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Station Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
