Premier League · England · City Ground

Nottingham Forest

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3–1

Manchester City

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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction & analysis

68%

Footrivo pick

Manchester City to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating

1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultManchester City to win ✗68% · @1.67

Double chanceManchester City or draw ✗90% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.60

Win chances

Nottingham Forest10%fair 9.71 · @5.00

Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.90

Manchester City68%fair 1.47 · @1.67

2.82Expected goals

0.72Nottingham Forest xG

2.10Manchester City xG

57%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–213%

0–113%

1–29%

0–39%

1–19%

1–37%

From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 0.7 – 2.1 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Manchester City travel as clear favourites – 68% to win, against 10% for Nottingham Forest.

Nottingham Forest have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Manchester City have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Manchester City come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (0.7 for Nottingham Forest, 2.1 for Manchester City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–2 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Nottingham Forest have won 0, Manchester City have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Manchester City to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Manchester City to win ✗	68%	1.47	1.67 ▲
Double chance	Manchester City or draw ✗	90%	1.11	1.18 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.77	1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	1.50
Half-time result	Manchester City ahead at half-time ✗	50%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City ✗	45%	2.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–2 ✗	13%	7.60	–

Form

Nottingham Forest – last 6

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31 Oct	@ Brentford	0–2	L
23 Oct	@ Ipswich	1–1	D
18 Oct	vs Arsenal	0–1	L
11 Oct	@ Crystal Palace	1–3	L
19 Sep	vs Coventry	0–1	L
12 Sep	@ Aston Villa	2–1	W

0.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Manchester City – last 6

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4 Nov	@ RB Leipzig	3–2	W
31 Oct	vs Brighton	0–1	L
28 Oct	vs Brighton	2–2	D
24 Oct	@ Aston Villa	1–2	L
20 Oct	vs AEK Athens FC	5–1	W
17 Oct	vs Ipswich	3–2	W

2.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026

Manchester City v Nottingham Forest

2–2

Premier League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

More Premier League predictions

League hub →

Leeds1

Tottenham0 322245 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓ FT

Arsenal1

Hull City0 731512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.62 ✓ FT

Fulham1

Newcastle1 482031 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Our pick is Manchester City to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manchester City 68%.

How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.