Premier League · England · Emirates Stadium

Arsenal

WWDWD

1–0

Hull City

DDLDL

Arsenal vs Hull City prediction & analysis

65%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.62Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultArsenal to win ✓73% · @1.14

Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓88% · @1.02

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94

Win chances

Arsenal73%fair 1.37 · @1.14

Draw15%fair 6.65 · @8.00

Hull City12%fair 8.46 · @19.00

2.71Expected goals

2.08Arsenal xG

0.63Hull City xG

50%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–014%

1–014%

3–010%

2–19%

1–19%

0–07%

From our goals model: Arsenal 2.1 – 0.6 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Arsenal are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 12% for Hull City.

Arsenal have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Hull City have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Arsenal come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.7 goals (2.1 for Arsenal, 0.6 for Hull City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (14%), 3–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.50 is our value angle (50% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arsenal to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.14
Double chance	Arsenal or draw ✓	88%	1.13	1.02
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	2.00	2.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.77	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	1.62 ▲
Half-time result	Arsenal ahead at half-time ✗	51%	1.98	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✗	47%	2.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	14%	6.94	–

Form

Arsenal – last 6

WWDWDW

4 Nov	@ Slavia Praha	2–1	W
1 Nov	@ Liverpool	1–0	W
27 Oct	@ Fleetwood Town	1–1	D
24 Oct	vs Everton	2–0	W
21 Oct	@ Bayern München	2–2	D
18 Oct	@ Nottingham Forest	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Hull City – last 6

DDLDLD

31 Oct	vs Ipswich	2–2	D
25 Oct	vs Brentford	1–1	D
17 Oct	@ Fulham	0–1	L
11 Oct	vs Everton	2–2	D
19 Sep	@ Newcastle	1–2	L
12 Sep	@ Chelsea	2–2	D

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and Hull City.

Premier League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

More Premier League predictions

League hub →

Leeds1

Tottenham0 322245 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓ FT

Fulham1

Newcastle1 482031 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓ FT

Nottingham Forest3

Manchester City1 102268 2Manchester City to win 68%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?

On our numbers Arsenal have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hull City 12%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Hull City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Arsenal vs Hull City?

Arsenal vs Hull City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.