Premier League · England · Craven Cottage

Fulham

DLWWL

1–1

Newcastle

LLWLL

Fulham vs Newcastle prediction & analysis

78%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Value bet: Newcastle to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFulham to win ✗48% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Win chances

Fulham48%fair 2.07 · @2.00

Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.70

Newcastle31%fair 3.19 · @3.50

2.79Expected goals

1.58Fulham xG

1.21Newcastle xG

62%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

2–08%

0–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Fulham 1.6 – 1.2 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Fulham hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 31% for Newcastle.

Fulham have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Newcastle have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.6 for Fulham, 1.2 for Newcastle). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Fulham have won 1, Newcastle have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Newcastle to win at 3.50 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fulham to win ✗	48%	2.07	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.25	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.50
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fulham / FT Fulham ✗	28%	3.62	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	10%	10.26	–

Form

Fulham – last 6

DLWWLD

31 Oct	@ Aston Villa	1–1	D
28 Oct	vs Crystal Palace	0–1	L
24 Oct	@ Coventry	1–0	W
17 Oct	vs Hull City	1–0	W
10 Oct	@ Ipswich	1–2	L
20 Sep	vs Manchester United	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Newcastle – last 6

LLWLLW

2 Nov	vs Everton	0–1	L
29 Oct	@ Everton	1–3	L
25 Oct	@ Crystal Palace	2–0	W
17 Oct	vs Aston Villa	0–1	L
12 Oct	@ Coventry	1–4	L
19 Sep	vs Hull City	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026

Fulham v Newcastle

2–0

Premier League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

More Premier League predictions

League hub →

Leeds1

Tottenham0 322245 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓ FT

Arsenal1

Hull City0 731512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.62 ✓ FT

Nottingham Forest3

Manchester City1 102268 2Manchester City to win 68%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?

On our numbers Fulham have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle 31%.

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Newcastle?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Fulham vs Newcastle?

Fulham vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Craven Cottage.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.