Premier League · England · Elland Road

Leeds

LDDLD

1–0

Tottenham

WWWDL

Leeds vs Tottenham prediction & analysis

75%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.33Odds

Value bet: Tottenham to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultTottenham to win ✗45% · @2.60

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.09

Win chances

Leeds32%fair 3.10 · @2.75

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.25

Tottenham45%fair 2.20 · @2.60

2.37Expected goals

1.05Leeds xG

1.32Tottenham xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–112%

1–010%

0–09%

1–29%

0–28%

From our goals model: Leeds 1.0 – 1.3 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Tottenham shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 32% for Leeds.

Leeds have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tottenham have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Tottenham come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 for Leeds, 1.3 for Tottenham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Tottenham to win at 2.60 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tottenham to win ✗	45%	2.20	2.60 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.80	1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.85	1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.33
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tottenham / FT Tottenham ✗	25%	4.03	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	12%	8.09	–

Form

Leeds – last 6

LDDLDW

31 Oct	@ Bournemouth	0–2	L
25 Oct	@ Sunderland	0–0	D
18 Oct	vs Manchester United	1–1	D
10 Oct	@ Arsenal	1–2	L
20 Sep	vs Crystal Palace	0–0	D
14 Sep	vs Newcastle	4–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Tottenham – last 6

WWWDLL

31 Oct	vs Crystal Palace	2–0	W
24 Oct	@ Chelsea	2–0	W
19 Oct	vs Coventry	3–1	W
10 Oct	@ Manchester United	1–1	D
19 Sep	vs Aston Villa	2–3	L
15 Sep	@ Liverpool	1–3	L

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leeds and Tottenham.

Premier League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

More Premier League predictions

League hub →

Arsenal1

Hull City0 731512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.62 ✓ FT

Fulham1

Newcastle1 482031 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓ FT

Nottingham Forest3

Manchester City1 102268 2Manchester City to win 68%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Tottenham?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?

On our numbers Leeds have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tottenham 45%.

How many goals will there be in Leeds vs Tottenham?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Leeds vs Tottenham?

Leeds vs Tottenham (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Elland Road.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.