Premier League · England · Vitality StadiumBournemouth vs Leeds prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Leeds to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.3 – 1.2 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bournemouth hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 35% for Leeds.
Bournemouth have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Leeds have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Bournemouth come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Bournemouth, 1.2 for Leeds). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bournemouth have won 0, Leeds have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.71. For a bigger price, Leeds to win at 3.40 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bournemouth to win ✓ | 44% | 2.30 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth ✓ | 24% | 4.20 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.07 | – |
Form
Bournemouth – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Aston Villa | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Manchester United | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs AC Milan | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Sunderland | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Sturm Graz | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Chelsea | 1–5 | L |
Leeds – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Sunderland | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Manchester United | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Arsenal | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Crystal Palace | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Newcastle | 4–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Chelsea | 3–6 | L |
Head to head
| 22 Apr 2026 | Bournemouth v Leeds | 2–2 |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leeds 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Bournemouth vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.