Premier League · England · Villa ParkAston Villa vs Fulham prediction & analysis
Aston Villa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
Value bet: Aston Villa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aston Villa 1.7 – 0.7 Fulham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Aston Villa are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 15% for Fulham.
Aston Villa have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Fulham have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Aston Villa, 0.7 for Fulham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Aston Villa or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Aston Villa to win at 1.95 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aston Villa to win ✗ | 62% | 1.63 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Aston Villa or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.29 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Aston Villa ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.64 | – |
Form
Aston Villa – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Bournemouth | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Manchester City | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Viking | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Newcastle | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Fenerbahçe | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Brentford | 2–2 | D |
Fulham – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Crystal Palace | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Coventry | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Hull City | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Ipswich | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Manchester United | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ West Ham | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and Fulham.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our pick is Aston Villa or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fulham 15%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Aston Villa vs Fulham (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.