Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Manchester City to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester City to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Liverpool vs Manchester City preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Liverpool take on Manchester City on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Anfield. Liverpool are 4th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Manchester City sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Liverpool's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Bournemouth 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester City's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sunderland 5–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Liverpool and 1.6 for Manchester City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool 32%, draw 21%, Manchester City 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Manchester City to win at 2.25 – 47% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool32%fair 3.12 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.50
Manchester City47%fair 2.11 · @2.25
2.90Expected goals
1.28Liverpool xG
1.62Manchester City xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Liverpool 1.3 – 1.6 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester City?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manchester City 47%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Manchester City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Liverpool vs Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
