Value bet: Hull City to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEverton to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Hull City vs Everton preview and prediction
The match
Everton travel to MKM Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT) to face Hull City. Hull City are 13th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Everton sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Hull City's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Newcastle 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Everton's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Ipswich 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Everton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Hull City and 1.1 for Everton. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hull City 31%, draw 22%, Everton 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Hull City to win at 3.40 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Hull City 1–1 Everton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hull City31%fair 3.18 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Everton47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
1.90Expected goals
0.81Hull City xG
1.09Everton xG
54%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hull City 0.8 – 1.1 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton to win✗
47%
2.15
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton / FT Everton✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.12
–
Form
Hull City – last 6
LDLDWD
19 Sep
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Chelsea
2–2
D
8 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Aston Villa
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Coventry
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Everton – last 6
WWDDDW
19 Sep
vs Ipswich
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Wolves
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Tottenham
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Manchester United
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Bournemouth
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Preston
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hull City and Everton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
On our numbers Hull City have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Everton 47%.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Everton?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?
Our predicted score is Hull City 1–1 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hull City vs Everton?
Hull City vs Everton (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at MKM Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
