Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Brighton to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrighton to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Coventry vs Brighton preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Coventry take on Brighton on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Coventry Building Society Arena. Coventry are 17th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Brighton sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Coventry's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Manchester City 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Brighton's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Leeds 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Coventry and 1.9 for Brighton. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Brighton to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Coventry 1–1 Brighton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coventry22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.50
Brighton59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
1.08Coventry xG
1.92Brighton xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Coventry 1.1 – 1.9 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Coventry – last 6
LLWLWW
5 Sep
@ Manchester City
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Hull City
0–1
L
25 Aug
@ Plymouth
4–2
W
21 Aug
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
14 Aug
vs Monaco
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Espanyol
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brighton – last 6
DLWWDW
5 Sep
vs Leeds
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Chelsea
3–4
L
27 Aug
vs Tromso
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Aston Villa
4–0
W
20 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Bologna
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coventry and Brighton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Coventry vs Brighton?
On our numbers Coventry have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brighton 59%.
How many goals will there be in Coventry vs Brighton?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Coventry 1–1 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Coventry vs Brighton?
Coventry vs Brighton (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Coventry Building Society Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
