Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Newcastle vs Bournemouth preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Newcastle take on Bournemouth on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at St. James' Park. Newcastle are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Bournemouth sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newcastle's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Tottenham 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bournemouth's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Everton 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Newcastle and 1.2 for Bournemouth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Newcastle 1–1 Bournemouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Bournemouth33%fair 3.05 · @3.20
2.75Expected goals
1.53Newcastle xG
1.22Bournemouth xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.5 – 1.2 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✗
47%
2.15
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Newcastle – last 6
WWDDLL
29 Aug
@ Tottenham
2–0
W
26 Aug
vs West Brom
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Liverpool
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
12 Aug
vs Everton
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 6
DLLDWW
29 Aug
vs Everton
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
4 Aug
vs Genoa
10–1
W
30 Jul
@ FC Augsburg
5–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Bournemouth.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bournemouth 33%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Newcastle vs Bournemouth (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
