Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Newcastle vs Liverpool preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Newcastle take on Liverpool on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at St James' Park. Newcastle are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Liverpool sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Newcastle's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Strasbourg 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Liverpool's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Como 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newcastle 23%, draw 16%, Liverpool 62%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Liverpool to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle23%fair 4.43 · @3.70
Draw16%fair 6.45 · @3.80
Liverpool62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Form
Newcastle – last 6
DLLWLD
16 Aug
vs Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
12 Aug
vs Everton
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Valencia
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Bristol City
1–4
L
25 Jul
@ Gateshead
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
DLLWWD
16 Aug
vs Como
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
2 Aug
vs Leeds
2–4
L
30 Jul
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Sunderland
4–2
W
24 May
vs Brentford
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Liverpool.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Liverpool to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Newcastle vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Liverpool 62%.
When is Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Newcastle vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at St James' Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
