Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.51
Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Stenhousemuir take on Raith Rovers on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ochilview Park. Stenhousemuir are 4th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Raith Rovers sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stenhousemuir's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Inverness CT 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Raith Rovers's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Queen's Park 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Raith Rovers 1–1 Stenhousemuir.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Stenhousemuir and 1.1 for Raith Rovers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Stenhousemuir 0–1 Raith Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenhousemuir33%fair 3.05 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Raith Rovers44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
1.95Expected goals
0.87Stenhousemuir xG
1.08Raith Rovers xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.9 – 1.1 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raith Rovers 44%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?
Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
