Championship · Scotland · Tulloch Caledonian StadiumInverness CT vs Arbroath prediction & analysis
Inverness CT to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Inverness CT 1.6 – 0.7 Arbroath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Inverness CT are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 20% for Arbroath.
Inverness CT have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Arbroath have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.0 conceded. Inverness CT come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Inverness CT, 0.7 for Arbroath). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Inverness CT have won 0, Arbroath have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Inverness CT to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Inverness CT to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Inverness CT / FT Inverness CT ✓ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.10 | – |
Form
Inverness CT – last 6
| 13 Oct | @ Queen's Park | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Stenhousemuir | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Morton | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Livingston | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Ayr Utd | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Raith Rovers | 0–2 | L |
Arbroath – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Morton | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Partick | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Queen's Park | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Raith Rovers | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Dunfermline | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 8 Aug 2026 | Arbroath v Inverness CT | 0–0 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
Our pick is Inverness CT to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
On our numbers Inverness CT have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arbroath 20%.
How many goals will there be in Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
Inverness CT vs Arbroath (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.