Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.25
Morton vs Raith Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Raith Rovers travel to Cappielow Park in the Championship on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT) to face Morton. Morton are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Raith Rovers sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Morton's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Inverness CT 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Raith Rovers's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Livingston 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Raith Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.5 for Morton and 1.7 for Raith Rovers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Raith Rovers to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Morton 0–1 Raith Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morton10%fair 10.01 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.75
Raith Rovers67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
2.19Expected goals
0.49Morton xG
1.70Raith Rovers xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Morton 0.5 – 1.7 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✓
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Raith Rovers or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Raith Rovers ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.25
–
Form
Morton – last 6
LLLLDL
25 Sep
@ Inverness CT
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Livingston
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Queen's Park
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Ayr Utd
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Arbroath
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Raith Rovers – last 6
LDWWLW
25 Sep
vs Livingston
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Partick
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Arbroath
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Inverness CT
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Dunfermline
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morton and Raith Rovers.
What is the prediction for Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Our pick is Raith Rovers to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Morton vs Raith Rovers?
On our numbers Morton have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raith Rovers 67%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Raith Rovers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Our predicted score is Morton 0–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Morton vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
