Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivingston to win ✗65% · @1.53
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.44
Livingston vs Ayr Utd preview and prediction
The match
Livingston host Ayr Utd in the Championship on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena. Livingston are 5th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Ayr Utd sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Livingston's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Raith Rovers 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ayr Utd's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Stenhousemuir 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Livingston arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Livingston and 0.5 for Ayr Utd. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Livingston to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Livingston 1–0 Ayr Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livingston65%fair 1.55 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.00
Ayr Utd12%fair 8.02 · @5.00
2.19Expected goals
1.64Livingston xG
0.55Ayr Utd xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.6 – 0.5 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✗
65%
1.55
1.53
Double chance
Livingston or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.44
–
Form
Livingston – last 6
WDWLLW
25 Sep
@ Raith Rovers
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Inverness CT
2–2
D
11 Sep
@ Morton
4–1
W
4 Sep
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ayr Utd – last 6
LWLLDL
25 Sep
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Queen's Park
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Inverness CT
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Partick
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Morton
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Ayr Utd.
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Livingston have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ayr Utd 12%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–0 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
Livingston vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
