Championship · Scotland · The Home of the Set Fare ArenaLivingston vs Inverness CT prediction & analysis
Livingston to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Livingston 1.4 – 0.7 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Livingston hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 22% for Inverness CT.
Livingston have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Inverness CT have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. Livingston come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.4 for Livingston, 0.7 for Inverness CT). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 0–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%).
Our pick is Livingston to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Livingston to win ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Livingston / FT Livingston ✗ | 33% | 3.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.68 | – |
Form
Livingston – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Morton | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Arbroath | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Dunfermline | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Partick | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Queen's Park | 2–0 | W |
Inverness CT – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Ayr Utd | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Raith Rovers | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Stenhousemuir | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Partick | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Heart Of Midlothian | 2–6 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Arbroath | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Inverness CT.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Inverness CT?
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Livingston vs Inverness CT?
On our numbers Livingston have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Inverness CT 22%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Inverness CT?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Livingston vs Inverness CT?
Livingston vs Inverness CT (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.