Championship · Scotland · Ochilview ParkStenhousemuir vs Inverness CT prediction & analysis
Inverness CT or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Inverness CT to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.5 – 1.4 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Inverness CT travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 15% for Stenhousemuir.
Stenhousemuir have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Inverness CT have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.5 for Stenhousemuir, 1.4 for Inverness CT). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (21%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (14%).
In their last 1 meeting, Stenhousemuir have won 0, Inverness CT have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Inverness CT or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Inverness CT to win at 1.94 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Inverness CT to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.94 ▲ |
| Double chance | Inverness CT or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.77 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Inverness CT / FT Inverness CT ✗ | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 21% | 4.83 | – |
Form
Stenhousemuir – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Queen's Park | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Motherwell | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Morton | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Raith Rovers | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Livingston | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | @ Partick | 2–2 | D |
Inverness CT – last 6
| 21 Aug | vs Partick | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Heart Of Midlothian | 2–6 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Arbroath | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Dunfermline | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Morton | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | vs ST Johnstone | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 21 Feb 2026 | Inverness CT v Stenhousemuir | 1–1 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
Our pick is Inverness CT or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Inverness CT 63%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.