Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Dundee to win @ 2.90 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundee to win ✗43% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
ST Mirren vs Dundee preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees ST Mirren take on Dundee on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at The SMISA Stadium. ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dundee sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ST Mirren's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Aberdeen 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Dundee's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Rangers 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dundee arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for ST Mirren and 1.4 for Dundee. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Mirren 35%, draw 23%, Dundee 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Dundee to win at 2.90 – 43% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Mirren35%fair 2.88 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Dundee43%fair 2.34 · @2.90
2.72Expected goals
1.27ST Mirren xG
1.45Dundee xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.3 – 1.4 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee to win✗
43%
2.34
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee / FT Dundee✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
ST Mirren – last 6
LLLLLW
17 Oct
@ Aberdeen
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Heart Of Midlothian
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Dundee Utd
0–3
L
9 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Celtic
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dundee – last 6
DWWLDL
17 Oct
vs Rangers
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Falkirk
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Motherwell
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs ST Johnstone
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Mirren and Dundee.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundee 43%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Dundee?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Dundee?
ST Mirren vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
