Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren preview and prediction
The match
Heart Of Midlothian host ST Mirren in the Premiership on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Tynecastle Park. Heart Of Midlothian are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while ST Mirren sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Kilmarnock 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
ST Mirren's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Dundee Utd 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Heart Of Midlothian arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.8 for ST Mirren. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heart Of Midlothian 68%, draw 17%, ST Mirren 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Heart Of Midlothian to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 ST Mirren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heart Of Midlothian68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @4.50
ST Mirren15%fair 6.80 · @5.80
2.79Expected goals
2.02Heart Of Midlothian xG
0.77ST Mirren xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 2.0 – 0.8 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
DLWWWW
19 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Falkirk
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenhousemuir
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
ST Mirren – last 6
LLLWDL
19 Sep
vs Dundee Utd
0–3
L
9 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Celtic
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Motherwell
3–3
D
16 Aug
@ Rangers
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and ST Mirren 15%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
