Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Falkirk to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFalkirk to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceFalkirk or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Falkirk vs Dundee preview and prediction
The match
Falkirk host Dundee in the Premiership on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Falkirk Stadium. Falkirk are 3rd with 21 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Dundee sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Falkirk's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with ST Johnstone 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dundee's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Motherwell 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Falkirk and 0.7 for Dundee. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Falkirk 59%, draw 23%, Dundee 19%.
Safer route: Falkirk or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Falkirk to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Falkirk or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Falkirk 1–0 Dundee. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Falkirk59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Dundee19%fair 5.37 · @3.50
2.21Expected goals
1.52Falkirk xG
0.69Dundee xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Falkirk 1.5 – 0.7 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Falkirk to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Falkirk or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Falkirk / FT Falkirk✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Falkirk – last 6
DWDLLD
19 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Rangers
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Celtic
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Motherwell
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dundee – last 6
WLDLWL
19 Sep
vs Motherwell
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs ST Johnstone
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Dundee Utd
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Falkirk and Dundee.
Our pick is Falkirk or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Falkirk vs Dundee?
On our numbers Falkirk have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundee 19%.
How many goals will there be in Falkirk vs Dundee?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Dundee?
Our predicted score is Falkirk 1–0 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Falkirk vs Dundee?
Falkirk vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Falkirk Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
