Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeltic to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.00
ST Mirren vs Celtic preview and prediction
The match
ST Mirren host Celtic in the Premiership on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at The SMISA Stadium. ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Celtic sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ST Mirren's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Kilmarnock 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celtic's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Aberdeen 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celtic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Celtic 2–2 ST Mirren.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for ST Mirren and 2.0 for Celtic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Mirren 17%, draw 20%, Celtic 63%.
Safer route: Celtic or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celtic to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: ST Mirren 0–1 Celtic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Mirren17%fair 5.95 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.40
Celtic63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
2.88Expected goals
0.90ST Mirren xG
1.98Celtic xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 0.9 – 2.0 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Celtic to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Celtic?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celtic 63%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Celtic?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Celtic?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 0–1 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Celtic?
ST Mirren vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
