Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAberdeen to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceAberdeen or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock preview and prediction
The match
Aberdeen host Kilmarnock in the Premiership on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Pittodrie Stadium. Aberdeen are 11th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Kilmarnock sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aberdeen's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Celtic 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kilmarnock's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to ST Mirren 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Aberdeen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Aberdeen and 1.2 for Kilmarnock. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Aberdeen or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aberdeen59%fair 1.68 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.75
Kilmarnock20%fair 5.02 · @4.33
3.38Expected goals
2.18Aberdeen xG
1.20Kilmarnock xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 2.2 – 1.2 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Double chance
Aberdeen or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Aberdeen ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Aberdeen – last 6
LLWLWW
2 Sep
@ Celtic
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Rangers
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dundee
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Dundee
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Kelty Hearts
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 6
LLWLLD
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Celtic
1–5
L
2 Aug
@ ST Johnstone
3–4
L
25 Jul
@ Peterhead
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Aberdeen or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kilmarnock 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
