Value bet: Motherwell to win @ 3.05 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHibernian to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Hibernian vs Motherwell preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Hibernian take on Motherwell on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Easter Road. Hibernian are 10th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Motherwell sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hibernian's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Malisheva 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Motherwell's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat HB Torshavn 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Hibernian arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Hibernian and 1.4 for Motherwell. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Motherwell to win at 3.05 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hibernian39%fair 2.56 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Motherwell38%fair 2.63 · @3.05
2.78Expected goals
1.40Hibernian xG
1.38Motherwell xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Hibernian 1.4 – 1.4 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hibernian to win✗
39%
2.56
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hibernian / FT Hibernian✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Hibernian – last 6
WLWWLW
30 Jul
vs Malisheva
4–1
W
23 Jul
@ Malisheva
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Brondby
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Cliftonville FC
5–1
W
30 Jun
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
13 May
@ Rangers
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
WWLLLL
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs HB Torshavn
2–0
W
17 Jul
vs Genk
3–4
L
5 Jul
@ Aarhus
0–4
L
13 May
vs Celtic
2–3
L
18 Feb
@ Aberdeen
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hibernian and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hibernian vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Hibernian have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motherwell 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Hibernian vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
