Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtenas to win ✓41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Atenas vs Tacuarembo preview and prediction
The match
Tacuarembo travel to face Atenas in the Segunda División on Saturday 27 June (14:00 WAT). Atenas are 1st with 44 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Tacuarembo sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Plaza Colonia 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Tacuarembo's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Paysandu 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Atenas 1–0 Tacuarembo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Atenas and 1.1 for Tacuarembo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Atenas 1–1 Tacuarembo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas41%fair 2.44 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Tacuarembo33%fair 3.01 · @2.75
2.29Expected goals
1.22Atenas xG
1.07Tacuarembo xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.2 – 1.1 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Atenas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tacuarembo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Atenas vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
