Value bet: Jonava to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJonava to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.78
Jonava vs Ekranas preview and prediction
The match
The 1 Lyga sees Jonava take on Ekranas on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Jonava are 10th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Ekranas sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jonava's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Be1 NFA 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ekranas's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Žalgiris II 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Jonava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Jonava and 1.0 for Ekranas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jonava 57%, draw 20%, Ekranas 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Jonava to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Jonava 1–1 Ekranas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jonava57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.30
Ekranas23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
2.73Expected goals
1.74Jonava xG
0.99Ekranas xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Jonava 1.7 – 1.0 Ekranas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jonava to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jonava / FT Jonava✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.78
–
Form
Jonava – last 6
WWLLWD
31 Jul
@ Be1 NFA
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Garliava
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Minija
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Hegelmann II
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Žalgiris II
2–1
W
12 Jun
vs Atmosfera
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ekranas – last 6
DLLLLL
1 Aug
vs Žalgiris II
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Babrungas
0–2
L
19 Jul
vs BFA
1–4
L
2 Jul
@ BFA
0–3
L
27 Jun
vs Atmosfera
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Tauras
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jonava and Ekranas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jonava vs Ekranas?
On our numbers Jonava have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ekranas 23%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Ekranas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonava vs Ekranas?
Our predicted score is Jonava 1–1 Ekranas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jonava vs Ekranas?
Jonava vs Ekranas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
