1 Lyga · LithuaniaHegelmann II vs Garliava prediction & analysis
Garliava to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hegelmann II 0.8 – 2.0 Garliava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Garliava travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 14% for Hegelmann II.
Hegelmann II have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Garliava have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.8 for Hegelmann II, 2.0 for Garliava). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Garliava to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.45 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Garliava to win ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | Garliava or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | Garliava ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Garliava / FT Garliava ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 12% | 8.14 | – |
Form
Hegelmann II – last 6
| 31 Jul | vs Minija | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Atmosfera | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Jul | vs Žalgiris II | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Jul | @ Žalgiris II | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Jun | vs Jonava | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | @ BFA | 1–0 | W |
Garliava – last 6
| 1 Aug | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Jonava | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jun | vs Minija | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jun | vs Transinvest 2 | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Jun | @ Žalgiris II | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Jun | @ Dainava | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann II and Garliava.
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hegelmann II vs Garliava?
Our pick is Garliava to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs Garliava?
On our numbers Hegelmann II have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Garliava 66%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann II vs Garliava?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Hegelmann II vs Garliava?
Hegelmann II vs Garliava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.