J1 League · Japan · Nissan Stadium
Yokohama F. Marinos
Fagiano Okayama
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 2.21 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.6 – 1.2 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Yokohama F. Marinos hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 31% for Fagiano Okayama.
Yokohama F. Marinos have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Fagiano Okayama have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded. Yokohama F. Marinos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.6 for Yokohama F. Marinos, 1.2 for Fagiano Okayama). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Yokohama F. Marinos to win at 2.21 is our value angle (48% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Yokohama F. Marinos to win ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | 2.21 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.34 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Yokohama F. Marinos / FT Yokohama F. Marinos ✗ | 28% | 3.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.88 | – |
Form
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Kawasaki Frontale | 4–2 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4–3 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Nagoya Grampus | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Tokyo Verdy | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ JEF United Chiba | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Shimizu S-pulse | 2–1 | W |
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs FC Tokyo | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Kawasaki Frontale | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | vs Mito Hollyhock | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Vissel Kobe | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | @ Nagoya Grampus | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Avispa Fukuoka | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yokohama F. Marinos and Fagiano Okayama.
More J1 League predictions
Shimizu S-pulse0
Tokyo Verdy1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.38
✗
FT
Nagoya Grampus0
Kyoto Sanga2
1Nagoya Grampus to win
59%@1.82
✗
FT
Avispa Fukuoka1
V-varen Nagasaki1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
71%@1.32
✓
FT
FC Tokyo2
Kashima0
GGBoth teams to score
62%@1.56
✗
FT
Kashiwa Reysol2
Kawasaki Frontale1
GGBoth teams to score
69%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fagiano Okayama 31%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.