J1 League · Japan · IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Shimizu S-pulse
Tokyo Verdy
Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 – 1.2 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Shimizu S-pulse and Tokyo Verdy on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Shimizu S-pulse have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.7 per game. Tokyo Verdy have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. Tokyo Verdy come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Shimizu S-pulse, 1.2 for Tokyo Verdy). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.94 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shimizu S-pulse to win ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.44 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.94 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.56 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse ✗ | 21% | 4.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.07 | – |
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Kyoto Sanga | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Oct | vs Machida Zelvia | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Gamba Osaka | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Oct | @ Yokohama F. Marinos | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Mito Hollyhock | 2–1 | W |
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ V-varen Nagasaki | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Avispa Fukuoka | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Yokohama F. Marinos | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs FC Tokyo | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Oct | @ Gainare Tottori | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Tokyo Verdy.
More J1 League predictions
Nagoya Grampus0
Kyoto Sanga2
1Nagoya Grampus to win
59%@1.82
✗
FT
Yokohama F. Marinos1
Fagiano Okayama1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.22
✓
FT
Avispa Fukuoka1
V-varen Nagasaki1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
71%@1.32
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FT
FC Tokyo2
Kashima0
GGBoth teams to score
62%@1.56
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FT
Kashiwa Reysol2
Kawasaki Frontale1
GGBoth teams to score
69%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tokyo Verdy 37%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.