Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
Kashiwa Reysol travel to Machida GION Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 20 September (09:00 WAT) to face Machida Zelvia. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Svay Rieng 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Jeonbuk Motors 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol. Across their last 2 meetings Machida Zelvia have won 2, Kashiwa Reysol 0, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Machida Zelvia and 1.6 for Kashiwa Reysol. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Value angle: Machida Zelvia to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Kashiwa Reysol34%fair 2.91 · @2.62
3.43Expected goals
1.83Machida Zelvia xG
1.60Kashiwa Reysol xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.8 – 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kashiwa Reysol 34%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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