Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction
The match
V-varen Nagasaki travel to Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium in the J1 League on Friday 21 August (11:00 WAT) to face Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol are 8th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Tokyo Verdy 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kashiwa Reysol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.9 for V-varen Nagasaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashiwa Reysol62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.85
V-varen Nagasaki16%fair 6.19 · @4.75
2.77Expected goals
1.90Kashiwa Reysol xG
0.86V-varen Nagasaki xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 1.9 – 0.9 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
WWDLWW
14 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ JEF United Chiba
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–1
L
30 May
@ Kyoto Sanga
6–2
W
23 May
vs JEF United Chiba
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
LWLLWW
15 Aug
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ Utrecht
2–3
L
14 Jul
@ NEC Nijmegen
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
30 May
vs Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and V-varen Nagasaki 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
