Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKitakyushu to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano preview and prediction
The match
Kitakyushu host Parceiro Nagano in the J3 League on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu. Kitakyushu are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Parceiro Nagano sit 10th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Kitakyushu's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Fukushima United 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Parceiro Nagano's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to FC Ryukyu 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Kitakyushu and 1.3 for Parceiro Nagano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kitakyushu 1–1 Parceiro Nagano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kitakyushu44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20
Parceiro Nagano35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
2.88Expected goals
1.54Kitakyushu xG
1.34Parceiro Nagano xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.5 – 1.3 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kitakyushu to win✓
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kitakyushu / FT Kitakyushu✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.23
–
Form
Kitakyushu – last 6
LWLWLD
21 Oct
@ Fukushima United
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Osaka
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Nara Club
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Kagoshima United
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
LWWLLW
21 Oct
vs FC Ryukyu
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Kochi United
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Nara Club
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Fukushima United
3–4
L
20 Sep
vs FC Gifu
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Parceiro Nagano.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Parceiro Nagano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?
Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
