Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗62% · @1.55
Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori preview and prediction
The match
Matsumoto Yamaga host Gainare Tottori in the J3 League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Sunpro Alwin. Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Gainare Tottori sit 17th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Albirex Niigata 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gainare Tottori's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.0 for Gainare Tottori. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Matsumoto Yamaga or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Gainare Tottori. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matsumoto Yamaga62%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.75
Gainare Tottori18%fair 5.47 · @4.75
2.94Expected goals
1.98Matsumoto Yamaga xG
0.96Gainare Tottori xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 2.0 – 1.0 Gainare Tottori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matsumoto Yamaga to win✗
62%
1.63
1.55
Double chance
Matsumoto Yamaga or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Matsumoto Yamaga ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
WWDLDD
29 Sep
vs Albirex Niigata
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Tochigi SC
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sagamihara
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Shonan Bellmare
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Osaka
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gainare Tottori – last 6
WLLWLW
29 Sep
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Kanazawa
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Nara Club
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
4–2
W
5 Sep
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0–3
L
2 Sep
vs Omiya Ardija
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Gainare Tottori.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gainare Tottori 18%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Gainare Tottori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
