Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsaka to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Sagamihara vs Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Sagamihara host Osaka in the J3 League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium. Sagamihara are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Osaka sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sagamihara's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Renofa Yamaguchi 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Osaka's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Sagamihara and 1.6 for Osaka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sagamihara 34%, draw 25%, Osaka 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Sagamihara 1–1 Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagamihara34%fair 2.91 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Osaka40%fair 2.48 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.43Sagamihara xG
1.57Osaka xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.4 – 1.6 Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osaka to win✗
40%
2.48
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osaka / FT Osaka✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Sagamihara – last 6
DLWDLL
26 Sep
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Kitakyushu
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ FC Ryukyu
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Osaka – last 6
DWWWDW
29 Sep
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Kochi United
4–0
W
18 Sep
vs Fukushima United
4–1
W
14 Sep
vs Ehime FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Osaka.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Osaka?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Osaka 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Osaka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Osaka?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–1 Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Osaka?
Sagamihara vs Osaka (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
