Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Tochigi SC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Tochigi SC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTochigi SC to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceTochigi SC or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi SC travel to Pikara in the J3 League on Sunday 4 October (06:00 WAT) to face Kamatamare Sanuki. Kamatamare Sanuki are 18th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Tochigi SC sit 12th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Kamatamare Sanuki's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FC Gifu 3–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Tochigi SC's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Matsumoto Yamaga 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Tochigi SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Kamatamare Sanuki and 2.2 for Tochigi SC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Value angle: Tochigi SC to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tochigi SC or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kamatamare Sanuki 1–2 Tochigi SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kamatamare Sanuki16%fair 6.34 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.20
Tochigi SC63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
3.25Expected goals
1.04Kamatamare Sanuki xG
2.21Tochigi SC xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Kamatamare Sanuki 1.0 – 2.2 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi SC to win✗
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Tochigi SC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Tochigi SC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Kamatamare Sanuki – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Sep
vs FC Gifu
3–4
L
19 Sep
@ Ehime FC
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ FC Ryukyu
0–1
L
9 Sep
vs JEF United Chiba
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Biwako Shiga
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Kagoshima United
3–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tochigi SC – last 6
LLDLWL
26 Sep
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ FC Gifu
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kamatamare Sanuki and Tochigi SC.
What is the prediction for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
Our pick is Tochigi SC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
On our numbers Kamatamare Sanuki have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tochigi SC 63%.
How many goals will there be in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
Our predicted score is Kamatamare Sanuki 1–2 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pikara.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
