Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United preview and prediction
The match
Kagoshima United host Fukushima United in the J3 League on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Shiranami Stadium. Kagoshima United are 4th with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Fukushima United sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kagoshima United's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Kitakyushu 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Fukushima United's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0–7 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Kagoshima United and 1.1 for Fukushima United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kagoshima United 70%, draw 19%, Fukushima United 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kagoshima United to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kagoshima United 2–1 Fukushima United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kagoshima United70%fair 1.44 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.80
Fukushima United11%fair 8.74 · @6.50
3.75Expected goals
2.67Kagoshima United xG
1.08Fukushima United xG
62%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Kagoshima United 2.7 – 1.1 Fukushima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kagoshima United to win✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Double chance
Kagoshima United or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Kagoshima United ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United✓
48%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Kagoshima United – last 6
DWWWLW
26 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Tochigi SC
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Biwako Shiga
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs FC Ryukyu
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Consadole Sapporo
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fukushima United – last 6
LWLLWW
29 Sep
vs Mito Hollyhock
0–7
L
26 Sep
vs Parceiro Nagano
4–3
W
18 Sep
@ Osaka
1–4
L
12 Sep
vs Roasso Kumamoto
1–2
L
9 Sep
vs Vegalta Sendai
4–3
W
5 Sep
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kagoshima United and Fukushima United.
What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?
Our pick is Kagoshima United to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?
On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fukushima United 11%.
How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?
Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 2–1 Fukushima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
