Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Kagoshima United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKagoshima United to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Biwako Shiga take on Kagoshima United on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Heiwado HATO Stadium. Biwako Shiga are 16th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Kagoshima United sit 4th on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Biwako Shiga's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Tokyo Verdy 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kagoshima United's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat FC Ryukyu 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Biwako Shiga 1–0 Kagoshima United. Across their last 2 meetings Biwako Shiga have won 1, Kagoshima United 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Biwako Shiga and 2.1 for Kagoshima United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Biwako Shiga 21%, draw 21%, Kagoshima United 59%.
Safer route: Kagoshima United or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kagoshima United or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Biwako Shiga 1–2 Kagoshima United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Biwako Shiga21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.10
Kagoshima United59%fair 1.71 · @1.83
3.20Expected goals
1.14Biwako Shiga xG
2.06Kagoshima United xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Biwako Shiga 1.1 – 2.1 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?
Our pick is Kagoshima United or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?
On our numbers Biwako Shiga have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kagoshima United 59%.
How many goals will there be in Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?
Our predicted score is Biwako Shiga 1–2 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?
Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Heiwado HATO Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
