Value bet: Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win @ 1.84 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIroni Kiryat Shmona to win ✓58% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias preview and prediction
The match
Ironi Kiryat Shmona host Ironi Tiberias in the Ligat Ha'al on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium. Ironi Kiryat Shmona are 11th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Ironi Tiberias sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ironi Kiryat Shmona's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ironi Tiberias's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Ironi Tiberias 0–1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona and 0.8 for Ironi Tiberias. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win at 1.84 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–0 Ironi Tiberias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ironi Kiryat Shmona58%fair 1.72 · @1.84
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.45
Ironi Tiberias22%fair 4.45 · @3.95
2.32Expected goals
1.53Ironi Kiryat Shmona xG
0.79Ironi Tiberias xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.5 – 0.8 Ironi Tiberias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias?
On our numbers Ironi Kiryat Shmona have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ironi Tiberias 22%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias?
Our predicted score is Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–0 Ironi Tiberias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias?
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.