Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Katamon to win ✗38% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Petah Tikva host Hapoel Katamon in the Ligat Ha'al on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at HaMoshava Stadium. Hapoel Petah Tikva are 12th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Hapoel Katamon sit 10th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hapoel Petah Tikva's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Ironi Tiberias 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Hapoel Katamon's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hapoel Katamon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Hapoel Katamon 3–1 Hapoel Petah Tikva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.6 for Hapoel Katamon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–1 Hapoel Katamon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Petah Tikva37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Hapoel Katamon38%fair 2.67 · @2.66
3.23Expected goals
1.61Hapoel Petah Tikva xG
1.62Hapoel Katamon xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1.6 – 1.6 Hapoel Katamon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon?
On our numbers Hapoel Petah Tikva have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hapoel Katamon 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–1 Hapoel Katamon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon?
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at HaMoshava Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
