Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Lugano to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.70
FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Lugano take on FC Basel 1893 on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at AIL Arena. FC Lugano are 1st with 34 points from 13 games (top of the table), while FC Basel 1893 sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Lugano's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FC Thun 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
FC Basel 1893's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Grasshoppers 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
FC Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC Lugano. Across their last 3 meetings FC Lugano have won 2, FC Basel 1893 0, with 1 draw and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for FC Lugano and 1.1 for FC Basel 1893. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Lugano 67%, draw 19%, FC Basel 1893 14%.
Safer route: FC Lugano or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Lugano to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Lugano 2–1 FC Basel 1893. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Lugano67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.40
FC Basel 189314%fair 6.94 · @4.60
3.64Expected goals
2.51FC Lugano xG
1.13FC Basel 1893 xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: FC Lugano 2.5 – 1.1 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
Our pick is FC Lugano to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
On our numbers FC Lugano have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Basel 1893 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
Our predicted score is FC Lugano 2–1 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at AIL Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
