Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: FC Thun to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Thun to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Lausanne vs FC Thun preview and prediction
The match
Lausanne host FC Thun in the Super League on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stade de la Tuiliere. Lausanne are 12th with 7 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while FC Thun sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lausanne's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to FC Sion 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Thun's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to FC Lugano 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished FC Thun 0–0 Lausanne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Lausanne and 1.8 for FC Thun. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lausanne 35%, draw 21%, FC Thun 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Thun to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lausanne 1–1 FC Thun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lausanne35%fair 2.84 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
FC Thun44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
3.32Expected goals
1.55Lausanne xG
1.77FC Thun xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Lausanne 1.6 – 1.8 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lausanne vs FC Thun?
On our numbers Lausanne have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Thun 44%.
How many goals will there be in Lausanne vs FC Thun?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lausanne vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is Lausanne 1–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lausanne vs FC Thun?
Lausanne vs FC Thun (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Tuiliere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
